{"id":498,"date":"2026-07-27T09:08:59","date_gmt":"2026-07-27T09:08:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/frontierhousingreport.com\/?p=498"},"modified":"2026-07-27T09:08:59","modified_gmt":"2026-07-27T09:08:59","slug":"the-democratic-establishments-mess-in-wisconsin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/frontierhousingreport.com\/?p=498","title":{"rendered":"The Democratic Establishment\u2019s Mess in Wisconsin"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u201cI hope y\u2019all don\u2019t get Giannis,\u201d said Milwaukee County executive and Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial candidate David Crowley to his diehard Knicks fan questioner during an early June interview with the Prospect<\/em>.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Read more A Stunning Shift in Public Opinion Post-Dobbs<\/a><\/p>\n

Crowley was one of several passionate Milwaukee Bucks fans I spoke to while working on this story about the Democratic gubernatorial primary in Wisconsin. Francesca Hong, the Democratic Socialists of America member and current front-runner, sports a large \u201cBucks in Six\u201d tattoo on her back right leg to commemorate their 2021 championship. Outagamie County executive Tom Nelson, who is not running for governor but provided valuable insight about the race, donned a Giannis jersey and shorts for an ad during his 2022 Senate primary run.\u00a0<\/p>\n

There are echoes of the sorry state of the now-rebuilding Bucks in the Democratic primary. The team has been scrambling since that 2021 triumph to find more talent to keep Giannis Antetokounmpo happy, from aging All-Star Damian Lillard to skilled but limited big man Myles Turner. These moves failed miserably, and Antetokounmpo\u2019s now in Miami.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The Democratic establishment\u2019s flailing anti-Hong movement has the same vibes.\u00a0<\/p>\n

For months, Democrats tried to coalesce the crowded field around Lieutenant Governor Sara Rodriguez, getting two opponents\u2014including Crowley\u2014to drop out and endorse her. But then Rodriguez dropped out herself, after a campaign finance scandal that left her with almost no money for the stretch run. Crowley was then induced to re-enter the race on July 18, this time with outgoing Gov. Tony Evers\u2019s endorsement. But that has not been a game-changer so far: Even Crowley\u2019s own internal poll released last week showed him in third place, 21 points behind Hong and one point behind Evers\u2019s other former lieutenant governor, Mandela Barnes.<\/p>\n

Barnes and Crowley are competing for the same voters in the same parts of the state, relying on similar messaging and policy agendas. The candidates could split the anti-Hong vote, making Evers\u2019s decision to re-inflate Crowley\u2019s candidacy a potentially disastrous error, if the goal was to overtake the leader. Many have raised eyebrows at the fact that Evers did not simply endorse his former running mate.\u00a0<\/p>\n

It should be a moment of great anticipation for Wisconsin Democrats. They are two Senate seats and five Assembly seats away from regaining total control of state government\u2014provided they maintain the governor\u2019s seat\u2014for the first time since 2010. There is a ton of pent-up legislating possible, including a long-awaited expansion of Medicaid. But the attempted knifing of the gubernatorial front-runner and the haphazard manner in which the Democratic establishment is pulling it off has overshadowed everything.<\/p>\n

Francesca Hong was first elected<\/strong> to the Wisconsin state assembly in 2020 after working in the restaurant industry for over a decade. She represents a district that includes the deep-blue state capital, Madison.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u201cVoters are telling us that they are ready for a new type of leadership,\u201d she said in an interview with the Prospect<\/em>, \u201cone that prioritizes the issues that working-class people care about and that requires transformative change from new leaders.\u201d<\/p>\n

Hong has garnered profiles in national publications likeThe New York Times<\/em> and reportedly has the largest donor base of anyone in the race, regardless of party. She is who everyone is talking about, including the Republican Governors Association, who have so far spent $2.2 million on \u201cattack ads\u201d meant to boost Hong among Democrats, on the belief that she would be an easier general-election candidate for the presumptive Republican nominee, House Freedom Caucus member Tom Tiffany.\u00a0<\/p>\n

The usually reliable Marquette Law School poll released July 22 had Hong ahead at 26 percent, but it was conducted before Rodriguez dropped out and Crowley re-entered the race. Perhaps more notable was that 54 percent of registered Democratic Party voter respondents had a favorable view of democratic socialists as compared to just 10 percent with an unfavorable view and 36 percent who \u201chadn\u2019t heard enough.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

Hong has run a steady, disciplined campaign from the start, and was drawing big crowds throughout the state well before the national media noise. She shares many of the fundamental qualities of other successful progressive outsiders in the post-Biden era, in that she is an active and dynamic communicator with uncompromising policy positions.<\/p>\n

She is running on what she calls a \u201cpermanent affordability\u201d agenda, which contains free child care, universal school breakfast and lunch, paid family and medical leave, living wages, fair and cheap health care for all, clarification that gig workers are employees, an affordable housing overlay that eliminates red tape, public banking to finance small business loans, \u201ccomprehensive antimonopoly regulations,\u201d and \u201clowering costs on things like utility bills with our 2 percent rate cap bill, capping utility costs at 2 percent of annual income for energy burdened families.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

The agenda bears some resemblance to what the neighboring state of Minnesota was able to pass when Democrats won back a trifecta there in 2022. \u201cIt requires a candidate and a campaign like ours to make sure that we\u2019re delivering for Wisconsinites at the scale and speed in which their struggles are growing,\u201d Hong said.<\/p>\n

She has also garnered attention for her stance on artificial intelligence and data centers, an issue that has broken through with even pro-Trump Republicans across the country.<\/p>\n

\u201cThere is growing opposition to corporate control, corruption, and consolidation,\u201d Hong said. \u201cWorking-class folks are already struggling, and for the state to take a risk in selling out our natural resources and to Big Tech? There\u2019s bipartisan opposition to that.\u201d<\/p>\n

Tom Nelson characterized <\/strong>the issue of AI and data centers as \u201ca scorching prairie fire\u201d across Wisconsin, and added that \u201cmany counties and cities, villages, and towns have adopted moratoriums on lopsided votes.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

Read more Trump\u2019s Tariff Sham<\/a><\/p>\n

Nelson publicly endorsed state Sen. Kelda Roys for governor in April, and sung her praises as a small businesswoman and a mother in his interview with the Prospect<\/em>. \u201cShe melds solid progressive bona fides with tenured legislative experience,\u201d he said. \u201cIt seems a candidate that can appeal to both centrist and left makes for the best candidate. Her political and business experience and clear positions on the issues make her an excellent choice.\u201d<\/p>\n

Roys ran and failed in the last contested primary for governor in Wisconsin, finishing third to Tony Evers. She\u2019s a longtime member of the state assembly and now the state senate. Though she has lagged in polling and struggled to gain momentum, it is very apparent in talking to Roys that she is passionate and knowledgeable in a way that is rare for politicians. Early in her interview with the Prospect<\/em>, she rattled off without prompting or hesitation the previous years that the Democratic Party held a state government trifecta in Wisconsin.\u00a0<\/p>\n

As for the potential of a trifecta in 2027, she said that it\u2019s \u201cgoing to depend mightily on who our nominee for governor is, and how heavy of a lift it is to get that person across the finish line in what should be a banner Democratic year. Those assembly maps are hard. They are Republican. It is not a truly fair map.\u201d<\/p>\n

Even if the Democrats do achieve the vaunted trifecta, Roys is concerned that an inexperienced governor will struggle to navigate state government and get things done. \u201cWe\u2019ve got a lot of really good people running, but most of them are pretty darn new to politics,\u201d she said. \u201cThey are first-time candidates or they\u2019ve only been in politics a couple of years \u2026 the challenges we face are complicated.\u201d<\/p>\n

As for Hong, she told the Prospect<\/em> that she believes that there is a \u201creal path to getting the majority in both the assembly and the Senate\u201d and says that she is well positioned to accomplish it in November. \u201cWe are seeing more disdain and opposition to the Trump regime and growing support for Democrats across our state. And our campaign is the only campaign bringing strong organizing infrastructure from people who have not previously engaged in door-knocking, in text-banking, in hosting events to talk about politics and a political campaign.\u201d<\/p>\n

A big question for the race is what the candidates hope to do with that trifecta. Hong, Barnes, Joel Brennan (whose campaign did not respond to multiple interview requests), and Crowley have each indicated that they support Medicaid expansion as part of their broader health care agendas. Roys, however, has argued that it is not feasible and told the Prospect<\/em> that Medicaid expansion is \u201cfunctionally off the table for non-expansion states like Wisconsin because of the federal budget changes in the \u2018big ugly bill.\u2019\u201d That law, signed last year, cuts $1 trillion from Medicaid over the next decade.<\/p>\n

\u201cIn Wisconsin, our reimbursement rates are so low that every time a patient uses their Medicaid, that doctor, that hospital, that physical therapist, that dentist is losing money,\u201d she said. \u201cAnd so the idea that Medicaid expansion is somehow an answer to health care does not solve anybody\u2019s problem with the high cost and unavailability of health care.\u201d Roys is instead offering \u201cKeldacare,\u201d which would allow every Wisconsinite to buy into the same insurance coverage that state employees enjoy. Local businesses could also enter the state employee pool. In her view, such a plan \u201ctakes what is working in health care in Wisconsin and makes it available to everyone.\u201d<\/p>\n

Crowley acknowledged in his interview with the Prospect<\/em> that Medicaid expansion is a challenge given the Trump cuts. But he argues that it still represents a workable long-term strategy. \u201cWe cannot just make decisions based on who is in office,\u201d he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n

With his fundraising prowess and experience in government as a state assemblymember and then as Milwaukee County executive, Crowley was expected to be a strong contender in the governor\u2019s race. But he initially struggled to stand out in a crowded and discombobulated field. The return with Evers\u2019s endorsement should provide a boost, but there isn\u2019t much time left to make an impression, with the primary election on August 11.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe really haven\u2019t been communicating what we\u2019re fighting for,\u201d said Crowley of the Democratic Party. \u201cAnd so this is really about making sure that we can bring those lost voices back into the party and really tackle the affordability crisis, really tackle health care and not only win elections, but show people that we can actually govern moving forward here in the state of Wisconsin and be a great example of what we can do across this country.\u201d<\/p>\n

Then there\u2019s Barnes,<\/strong> who was not available to answer questions before this article\u2019s deadline. He was involved in one of 2022\u2019s highest-profile races as the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate against Republican Ron Johnson. His narrow defeat was considered by many a startling disappointment, especially on a night where Tony Evers, who outperformed Barnes in every single Wisconsin county, was re-elected as governor. People are still <\/em>debating what exactly went wrong for Barnes against Johnson; Barnes spokesman Cole Wozniak recently argued to Politico that Barnes\u2019s 2022 defeat was owed to \u201cbeing outspent by tens of millions of dollars, in an incredibly difficult year for Democrats.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

Whatever the answer, the 2022 experience hangs over his campaign this year. If the Democratic establishment thought Barnes was a strong performer, they probably wouldn\u2019t have enticed Crowley back into the race.<\/p>\n

On policy, Barnes is running a standard 2026 Democratic Party campaign focused on affordability issues, universal child care, and calling out corruption. The new Marquette Law School poll, which again was conducted before Rodriguez dropped out and Crowley re-entered the race, indicated that Barnes is functionally tied with Hong among voters making less than $50,000 a year, and had the highest name recognition among the Democratic candidates, which makes sense because of the Senate run. Barnes also did the best in the poll against Tiffany, leading him 47-42 among likely voters. Hong was tied with Tiffany at 44-44. These results will certainly keep Barnes in the race, and make it hard for either him or Crowley to overcome Hong.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Crowley\u2019s candidacy will test the influence of Evers, but labor support could be what drives him forward to the nomination. Crowley garnered the endorsement of the Wisconsin Laborers\u2019 District Council on July 20. It is worth watching if other unions follow. \u201cI think the labor vote will surprise many,\u201d said Nelson. \u201cThey\u2019ve been hibernating a bit, and with a lot at stake this time around they\u2019ll rise to the occasion.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n

As it stands, Hong\u2019s the likely favorite to win the primary. She says that she is ready to govern, and that even if the general election ends in a split legislature, \u201cwe will be working toward and coming into negotiations from a place of strength where more people across the state are now seeing and understanding what government can do \u2026 We deserve a government that is a force of good, not one that sows dysfunction and chaos and puts corporations and the ultra rich and privileged over everyday ordinary Wisconsinites like myself.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read more Jay Clayton\u2019s Subpoena Slop Job<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n


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On the verge of a potential governing trifecta, state party leaders have hopscotched from candidate to candidate in the governor\u2019s race, trying to stop democratic socialist Francesca Hong.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":497,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[242],"class_list":["post-498","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-politics","tag-tagged-democrats-dsa-election-2026-francesca-hong-governors-wisconsin"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Democratic Establishment\u2019s Mess in Wisconsin - Frontier Housing Report<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/frontierhousingreport.com\/?p=498\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Democratic Establishment\u2019s Mess in Wisconsin - 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